Of course, different technologies will help them to make boundaries. Facebook is still the biggest social network by some margin, but throughout . c) A government wants to develop an area. Again, the idea of innovation solving our problems seems incorrect to me. STEAM (adding arts to STEM) is critically important, but so is ethics, compassion, a sense of stewardship for each other and the planet. Still, technology is the easy factor in the success formula., Tomslin Samme-Nlar, a consultant in technology security and policy based in Cameroon, wrote, The kind of innovation I expect to see are new educational systems and methods of educating citizens of their digital rights. In other words, just as digital world is shaping the physical world, physical world shapes our digital world as well., Sarah Scheffler, a computer science doctoral student at Boston University, commented, Privacy will be solved one way or another. Privacy concerns have become an increasingly hot-button topic in politics. Hopefully we are not going to go backwards, but we seem unlikely to improve much more. https://www.ecsite.eu/activities-and-services/news-and-publications/digital-spokes/issue-45., A research scientist and co-author of a study on intelligent future internet infrastructure said, Technology provides multiple tools for engaging citizens among them and can be used to create new communities for virtually every possible objective: from sharing hobbies to attaining objectives that lead to an improvement in the welfare of different communities. Many experts express skepticism about what effects these innovations may have or if any meaningful innovations will even occur in the next decade. Some expectations include a greater focus on science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) subjects and a greater focus on digital literacy programs in the standard curriculum. That is why I think it is unlikely that social and civic innovation will occur in the next 10 years. Algorithms have been improving and advancing for years. But since the Boomers are about to retire, we dont have to worry about this for at least a few decades because well need as much productivity as we can to support the population., Robert Cannon, senior counsel for a U.S. government agency and founder of Cybertelecom, a not-for-profit educational project focused on internet law and policy, wrote, We are moving into a new economy unlike the last one. Not sure which, but either way itll be different. Susan Etlinger, industry analyst, the Altimeter Group, responded, We need to let go of techno-solutionism the notion that the problems caused by technology can only be solved by more technology. These types of organizations i.e., this component of people power are much weakened under current technology and political practices. Laura Sallstrom, Vince Carducci, researcher of new uses of communication to mobilize civil society and dean at the College of Creative Studies, commented, The subsumption of individual identity under big data will likely continue as technology proliferates under so-called platform/surveillance capitalism. Hybrid working is the future. Missing Titanic submersible: What do we know about OceanGate's Titan The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated 10 key technology trends, including digital payments, telehealth and robotics. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. Socially in the near term, tech platforms will ask to be regulated just as AT&T asked for the FCC to be created. A. The open source movement and Creative Commons showed that people will labor for free for the benefit of strangers. Ray Schroeder, associate vice chancellor of online learning at the University of Illinois, Springfield, wrote, Dramatic shifts in employment and education are likely to take place in the coming decade. And the skills and competences of people will improve as more knowledge will be available to reach well-being by society in general., Edson Prestes, a professor of computer science, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, wrote, In democratic countries, I believe technology use will contribute to social and civic innovation. Tech can evolve quickly, and we need to be faster in how we adapt. Benjamin Franklin famously said: Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Those in control of the development and deployment of technology will see to it that mastery of its benefits will go to people who are much like themselves and who are in agreement with their own world view. The innovations these experts predict by 2030, Experts Predict More Digital Innovation by 2030 Aimed at Enhancing Democracy, https://www.ecsite.eu/activities-and-services/news-and-publications/digital-spokes/issue-45, Social media: Experts see a reckoning coming for social platform companies and leaders that will lead to large-scale changes, Privacy issues: Actions will be taken to better protect peoples privacy online, Misinformation: Due to growing concerns about the accuracy of information encountered online, efforts will be made to identify and address misinformation, Political and government reform: Democratic activity and government policymaking will open to more citizen engagement, and public activism will grow, Social connectivity: A number of innovations will help connect people and bring them together for a common purpose, Healthier living: Innovations will address physical and mental health; major change is coming for the health care sector, Artificial intelligence: AI will continue to improve and be applied to improve human lives online and offline, Education reform: Education systems will evolve in response to many multilayered societal changes, Labor and jobs: Business practices, individuals work lives and the larger economy will substantially change by 2030, Environmental issues: Climate change and other environmental issues will inspire innovation out of necessity, Additional innovations expected by experts, A notable share of experts is skeptical about the power and impact of civic and social innovations, especially in the next decade, 3. Impact of COVID-19: Growing small and medium businesses are - ZDNET Yes, we are already seeing useful technology tools (adversarial machine learning techniques to identify bias, or artificial intelligence systems of record for interpretability and accountability, for example), but we also need to incorporate transparent and deliberative decision-making, and, in some cases, actual structural change such as regulation to ensure that we are addressing not just the symptoms but the root causes of inequality. The focus on ethics has however been very helpful and may shift the needle., David Bernstein, a retired market-research and new-product-development professional, said, It seems unlikely that social and civic innovations are likely to resolve some issues that have plagued individuals for many decades. Maybe well use technology (social media) to advertise more face-to-face meetups and outdoor activities without screens., Sam Adams, a 24-year veteran of IBM now working as a senior research scientist in artificial intelligence for RTI International, architecting national-scale knowledge graphs for global good, wrote, We are already seeing the emergence of tech-free camps and vacation packages. Experts expect that social innovations in this realm will continue to bring people together. Advances in AI, robotics and automation have accelerated over the course of the pandemic. Technology is moving too quickly, and too often we define progress as greater efficiency in labor or more technology. New tools combine greater access to data and better platforms to view, summarize, and analyze it. Profit rules all, and smaller companies that may begin to innovate in the social arena will be bought up and their products will either be buried or turned toward increasing corporate control. The 20th century has, through TV, propagated a soap culture. Whether or not citizens have an expectation of privacy by voluntarily using a technology is a legal issue and part of a social contract. Two decades later, that number has surpassed 8 . We are new at digital communities and are inventing them as we move forward. In which situation would new technology be most likely to cause a 07 Mar 2022 James Forsyth Community Lead, South Asia/ASEAN, and Member Relations, Young Global Leaders, World Economic Forum COVID-19 has profoundly altered the way we live and work, and the way we consume. This dilemma allows for unregulated monopoly behaviour which may regard ethical behaviour as secondary to corporate profitability., Dan Gillmor, technology writer and director at the Knight Center for Digital Media Entrepreneurship, Arizona State University, commented, This will cut both ways, but its difficult at the moment to imagine how reformers can win against the overwhelming power of centralized control. Digital stewardship and policing legislation. I do not believe that the changes will improve our ability to receive unbiased local news. Unless Google and other tech companies can substantially reduce population, we are stuck in an untenable position to support the worlds economies that are fixed on growth and the inevitable fact that growth will no longer be possible., Matt Moore, innovation manager for Disruptors Handbook, Sydney, Australia, responded, Humans are still going to be human. Doubtful Gene Roddenberry was wrong about human nature. Tech causes more problems than it solves, 6. So, there are opportunities for people to use more-specialized tools to improve democratic participation and to channel responses from politicians and democratic institutions to citizens. Organizations were forced to adopt new technologies overnight to survive, or risk becoming irrelevant. These broader effects are driven by deeper underlying factors, like history, diversity, cohesiveness and social capital, and also political climate and institutions. Current capitalist notions of economies assume that money flows in ecosystems. The exploration of this kind of closed loop autonomous or software-defined company is the focus of much of our current work at Rethinkery. However, I believe were approaching a tipping point where society may realize that some good-faith attempts to place boundaries on technology use especially in areas like disinformation, threats, bullying, etc. Who will lead us to a better world?, Ian OByrne, an assistant professor of education at the College of Charleston, wrote, I see this as a balancing act as well. The new ideas wont necessarily be the right ones, but they will be innovative and disruptive. Although some people are likely more materially comfortable than ever before, we also are facing important disruptions in the physical environment that will cause sufficient discomfort to prompt people to demand policy responses. Information needs to be accurate and parameters around governance/ethics need to be in place by these large tech organizations for the systems to be socially and civically acceptable., John Paschoud, elected politician of the Lewisham Council (a London borough), wrote, Much political and social/community discussion of and decisions on issues are inherently based on physical geography, and often highly localised. danah boyd, principal researcher at Microsoft Research and founder of Data & Society, wrote, We havent hit peak awful yet. Answer 1 Answer: D. The new technology allows the detection of a structure that could not be detected previously. I personally see new groups emerging daily and ease of access to join these groups. Concurrently, we will continue to invest heavily into early-stage cyber-security technologies through Cyverse Capital. In Israel alone, cyber-security startups raised $ 8.8 billion in the course of 2021. Top 10 Technology Trends in 2023 You Should Definitely Follow! People will do more for themselves and depend less on centralized services. I have every confidence that social and civic innovation can be beneficial in the long run (with a caveat that I think that climate change dynamics might ruin all of that). Jason Hong, a professor at the Human-Computer Interaction Institute at Carnegie Mellon University, said, Health care is an area that will likely see many innovations. There will be opportunities to improve the quality of human life especially in the domain of health and the management of chronic diseases. In the longer run I hope by 2030 the innovation cycle will come back into play. They may go to private conversations so that the noise doesnt overtake the conversation. As such, technology may not reach their potential by 2030 (yet still contribute to important changes) because: 1) at any given time, society is not yet ready to accept what new technologies can deliver; a good example is self-driving cars; 2) the gap between those who can afford the technology output and those who cannot not will not close certainly not at a global level; this will in particular be obvious in medical technology; 3) those who can use new technologies to the benefit of society the establishment are less progressive than those who are not at a decision-making level (young people), despite their superior skill and preparedness. There are clearly technology solutions being developed to address individual user privacy, and the debate has been expanded to such an extent that there is a possibility to see a successful outcome here. What our Young Global Leaders know well is that its easy to lead when times are going well, but real responsibility emerges when you must stand up for what you believe in. However, there should be some room for optimism., Jaime McCauley, an associate professor of sociology at Coastal Carolina University and expert in social movements and social change, wrote, I am most optimistic about innovation leading to improvement in physical health because we already invest so much time, energy, money and tech into health care. In which situation would new technology be most likely to cause a change in an existing theory about new structures a cell AI Recommended Answer: Step 1/2 First, we need to understand what a theory about new structures in a cell means. Similarly, the growing risks associated with ethically blind or limited technologies will push for greater adoption of programs like the Ethical OS model. In 2022, at Cyverse AG we will adhere to our commitment to protecting the European digital economy from Tier-1 enterprises to SMEs with next-generation cyber-security solutions. 5. Tech causes more problems than it solves | Pew Research Center The experts predicted networked artificial intelligence will amplify human effectiveness but also threaten human autonomy, agency and capabilities. The citizen jury model would be innovative in the sense of being outside our norm, but not innovative in the sense of being brand new., Richard Lachmann, a professor of political sociology at the State University of New York, Albany, said, The institutions and social settings that make innovation likely political parties, unions, churches, etc. Some say there will be a reckoning for technology companies and their leaders that might produce major revisions to their platforms. Addressing issues both on and offline, many experts expect AI to make improvements in peoples lives. I expect to see a differentiated approach. Employees overwhelmingly expect flexible options. Truth and veracity will be honored and strengthened following the current difficult period of exploitation of facts. By Shira Ovide. Like all design processes, this process will be shaped by the values and stakeholders that the system is built around. Blockchain 8. We dont like change, and when our financial and environmental security is threatened our physical and emotional health suffers., Deb Socia, executive director of Next Century Cities, commented, Though I am generally optimistic about the potential for successful social and civic innovation, I am worried that some issues will not be positively impacted. Beyond making predictions on these categories, these experts suggested dozens of other innovations they think might occur in the next 10 years. I am hopeful that legislators and regulators will work to mitigate the vulnerabilities associated with technological disruption in the workplace. Learn more about the groundbreaking work that the Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Network is doing to prepare us for the future. A huge wave of labs of all kinds (living labs, fablabs, social labs, edulabs, innovation spaces, even policy labs) is emerging as the new kind of groups and communities of the digital era. For the first, it is possible to add data to an image dataset to make it more reflective of human diversity (for an example, see the Gender Shades research authored by Joy Buolamwini and Timnit Gebru). Either law and public opinion will place protections that are good enough to satisfy most of the populace, or privacy as a concept will change as a matter of values. Journalism is already dependent on Google for its continued survival, which means that its prospects for solving its key challenge has been lost., Srinivasan Ramani, Internet Hall of Fame member and pioneer of the internet in India, commented, We need to recognize that the basis of our economy is economic freedom, including one of exploiting technology for corporate ends. On the other hand, in authoritarian countries, I expect exactly the opposite. As we have seen in recent years, different civic groups and hacktivists have stressed the need for governments to hear the needs and wants of populations through digital but general-purpose tools. Social media is constantly evolving - how many people reading this still update their Myspace page? There will be fewer visits for health checkups as that data will be gathered on an ongoing basis allowing for individual health trends to be identified and deviations tracked and treated. True democracy allows people to exercise their free will through informed choice. So, I am modestly hopeful we can sort out the helpful from the harmful changes for a net positive gain., Rich Salz, senior architect at Akamai Technologies, wrote, A handful of legislators in one (U.S.) or more (EU) countries will impose regulations on the tech giants. How popular these platforms will be is hard to estimate. What is the further innovation required? Answer: The technology would permit the detection of a substance, which could not be determined previously would lead to a situation in which new technology would be most likely result in a change in the prevailing theory regarding the compositions of the cell. Augmented Reality / Virtual Reality 7. Anyone who has posted a question in a forum and received an answer from a stranger knows firsthand that they bring us together. will probably be significantly resolved one way or another over coming years. "Due to the worst winter in Newfoundland in 40 years, this mission is likely to be the first and only manned mission to the Titanic in 2023," Harding wrote on Instagram, June 17. We may even be able to reclaim some of our privacy back. We will see significant changes in areas like privacy, data protection, algorithm and architecture design guidelines, and platform accountability, etc. These new models will produce new social and civic innovations and authorities., David J. Krieger, director of the Institute for Communication and Leadership, based in Switzerland, wrote, Datafication, that is, the modelling of the world in data and the application of descriptive, predictive, preventive and prescriptive analytics to this data, will transform all areas of society. have weakened greatly in the last half century. The Forum established the Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution Network in 2017 to ensure that new and emerging technologies will helpnot harmhumanity in the future. There is social capital, there is technology and there is face-to-face encounter., Ray Schroeder, associate vice chancellor of online learning at the University of Illinois, Springfield, said, We are already seeing the advent of sophisticated fact-checking, image validating and information assurance initiatives. Its true that digital subscriptions to the big three newspapers in the U.S. do not yet mark a sea change, but an interest in these, along with a number of smaller investigative news and data organizations suggest a directional change. Plus, some of the uses of these technologies have promoted unhealthy habits, especially by people who were predisposed to have psychological and physical health issues. There are a couple of issues with artificial intelligence in particular that are reasonably tractable from a technology perspective: (1) reducing unwanted bias in datasets, data models and algorithms, and (2) improving interpretability of those algorithms. Social media were developed at a time when people were feeling especially disconnected to their communities, families and friends likely due to not just increased geographic mobility, but also economic pressures and global stressors (such as protracted war in the Middle East). Decisions not only in business, but also in health care, education, research and politics will be made no longer on the basis of intuition, experience, emotion or personal expertise, but on the basis of evidence. We are already seeing massive job loss along with new job growth at the nascent time of the new economy and firms move in to create and capture arbitrage and surplus (but significant job growth in minimum-wage jobs with middle-class wages melting away). Social and civic innovation will take place in preparing people to meet the needs of business and industry. New answers Rating 3 Cezss We need a new regime to pay for local journalism, and advocacy to popularize new visions will help us get there. More than half of SMB leaders say their company uses a CRM system . The next challenge is in continuing to build shared purpose, while using technology to amplify human insight and talent. However, much of the positive social changes in the past century have come from social and civic organizations such as organized labor and civic organizations such as Charter 77. These efforts will take root in countries with traditions of freedom. There are hundreds of online meetings for 12-step groups, allowing people to seek, find and offer support irrespective of time of day or geographical location. Demographically, these technological optimists are more likely to be men than women, and more likely to be college graduates than to have not completed college. Cyber-security is the pillar of trust in the digital economy; were on a mission to build a cyber-secure future for European enterprises. In any case, the problem with applying AI technology will not be with the technology but with the legislative sector. Maybe the concept of intellectual property will not survive., Ian OByrne, an assistant professor of education at the College of Charleston, responded, Multiple factors are needed to enact positive change in civic and social innovation as it relates to technology and discourse systems. Work will be specialized. 3. Future of Technology | Pew Research Center 1. The innovations these experts predict by 2030 The coming chapters of this report explore more of them and outline how these experts expect innovations may unfold or be thwarted. This is a necessary but not sufficient condition for making progress on any of the key issues we face., Miles Fidelman, founder of the Center for Civic Networking and principal at Protocol Technologies Group, responded, At best, we will see new forms of collaboration among large numbers of people toward beneficial ends. According to the 2022 Goalkeepers report from the Gates Foundation, the percentage of the global population living below the international poverty line has fallen by nearly 20% since 2015, and the rate of mortality for children under 5 has fallen by more than 50% since 1990. If Im pressed to imagine a social or civic innovation, I might think of something like political problem-solving using the citizen jury model (and civic dialogue in general). is necessary. The latest IoT trends can attest to this fact. Daily stand-up meetings, unblock frictions instead of burying problems. As Zeynep Tufekci observed in her recent book, power learns., Andrew Nachison, chief marketing officer for the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, observed, I dont see tech per se as the answer to our woes. These changes will result in access to robust and individualized learning opportunities that will serve both the personal and professional interests of individuals and the economy., Isaac Mao, director of Sharism Lab, said, The real social and civic innovations should be disruptive by departing from todays commercial and capitalism-driven architecture. The experts in this canvassing dont see that momentum changing. Similar trends can be seen in cellphone use. As people worry about false and misleading information and its place in their online feeds and societal discourse, a number of these experts believe steps will be taken to address this issue. Particularly for SMEs, the path to digitalization is sometimes out of reach. Experts who were canvassed about the relationship between people's technology use and democracy also expressed . Unless well managed, however, flows of information cannot be used to guide decisions and can even hinder leadership. E.g., people should understand how a system works and how to participate, how to share and how to get incentives without worrying about centralized secret chambers or tyrannies. For the second, there is a great deal of research being conducted on methods to improve interpretability of algorithms without reducing their performance. To date, 50% of our investments have gone to women and 35% to people of colour while maintaining top-quartile venture results and less than a 2% lending loss rate. Estimated amount of data created on the internet in one minute in 2021. Technology is the application of scientific knowledge for practical purposes.
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